8 Reasons We're in an AI Bubble Right Now

The rapid growth of AI sparks both excitement and concern. Is it a transformative technology or just another bubble?

Key Takeaways

  • Hype Cycle: AI's rapid growth and high expectations may be signs of a potential bubble.
  • Overinvestment: Massive investments and lack of practical applications raise concerns about the current value of AI.
  • Talent Gap: Skill shortages are preventing more widespread AI adoption.
  • Short-term Focus: Short-term ROI focus can lead to the loss of promising AI projects.
  • Public Perception: Public misconceptions about AI capabilities create unrealistic expectations and fears.
  • Human Factor: The human element remains irreplaceable. Overall, AI systems will always be a supplement, not a replacement.
  • Skill Development: Education and skill development are crucial for succeeding in the AI landscape.
The rapid growth of AI sparks both excitement and concern. Is it a transformative technology or just another bubble?

For the past few years, the same two words have been on almost everybody’s lips: Artificial Intelligence (AI). 

Does this constant interest and seemingly unrestrained growth of AI remind you of anything? 

If you're thinking 'dot com bubble' or 'crypto craze', you're on the same track as many others. 

Although it seems like AI has trickled down into every part of our lives – from chatbots that can write poetry to algorithms predicting stock market trends – there’s a fear that all this might eventually turn out to be a bubble.

In economic terms, a bubble happens when asset prices are at levels that aren't justified by the asset itself. It’s the result of something being hyped up and valued more than it’s actually worth

Could we be seeing the same thing with AI? 

In this article, we explore 8 reasons why we might be in an AI bubble, as well as the legitimate reasons to be excited about the future of AI.

After all, separating the hype from reality is key to making the most of this transformative technology and understanding its lasting impact.

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1. Hype and High Expectations

Do you remember when the first voice assistants for smartphones came out? You might have imagined they would eventually overtake human assistants in ingenuity and capabilities. 

Fast forward to today, and most people use it for little more than simple tasks, like playing music or making calls. Many others have stopped using it altogether. Research by Voicebot found that the use of general purpose voice assistants was decreasing.

AI has created a new wave of excitement about voice assistants, as shown by OpenAI’s recent, widely discussed live demo. But will it live up to its promise – or is this similar to the hype around voice assistants when they first came out over 10 years ago?

This is a perfect example of the question that nags every new AI application. 

Media buzz, promises of market disruption, and uncertainty about AI's true capabilities have created a perfect storm of inflated expectations. 

When a new AI model can write a Shakespeare sonnet, many fall into the trap of assuming it can do anything else, too.

This hype cycle can lead to:

  • Unrealistic project timelines.
  • Overestimation of AI's current capabilities.
  • Disillusionment when AI doesn't deliver business value. 
  • Inflated values for AI-driven businesses.

While some expectations are overblown, there are fields where AI is making tangible and impressive progress. 

Take robotics, for instance. AI-powered robots are transforming manufacturing floors with improved efficiency and safety. Or consider predictive maintenance, where AI algorithms are helping industries foresee and prevent costly breakdowns.

These practical applications highlight an important point.

While there might be unrealistically high expectations from AI on one end, there is definitely real value and use backing it up on the other. The key is knowing where to look – and having the skills to make the most of what we find.

two people working on robotics

2. Too Much Money, Too Fast

The massive potential of AI has sparked a gold rush in the investment world. 

Venture capitalists, investors, and tech giants are pouring billions into AI startups. Goldman Sachs Economics Research found that market interest in AI has increased dramatically. It estimates that AI investment will be around $200 billion globally by 2025.

Many of these investments, however, are based on the fear of missing out (FOMO). 

Developing and implementing AI solutions takes time, resources, and expertise

A lot of AI products are currently in the 'wouldn’t it be cool if' stage. The industries that have adopted AI are also still in the early stages, and its full potential may take years, even decades, to be realized.  

Consequences of Investing Too Much

Pour in too much money too quickly, and you get:

  • Startups with massive funding based on ambitious promises rather than proven products.
  • Sky-high valuations for companies with little to no revenue.
  • A 'growth at all costs' mentality that prioritizes hype over sustainable business models.
  • Ultimately, a grave economic impact that will affect many businesses and employees.

How Does AI Investment Affect You?

While heavy investments in every AI startup might not be the best move, taking the time to learn the right skills for an AI-driven future is well worth it.

The rapidly growing and heavily funded AI market is sure to affect many workers.

We probably won’t have an entirely automated society, and not every AI product will be successful. But AI will definitely transform many occupations and open up new, lucrative jobs.

Learning about AI will help:

  • Distinguish between AI hype and practical applications.
  • Learn how to use AI technologies with real-world implementations.
  • Give you an edge in industries like manufacturing and robotics.
industry

3. Lack of Practical Applications 

The excitement about AI often stems from groundbreaking research and impressive demonstrations. 

But the real challenge is translating these research breakthroughs into practical, scalable applications.

The gap between AI's potential and its concrete, enterprise-level uses is wider than you might think. 

In a KPMG survey, companies said that a top barrier to AI implementation was the lack of a clear business case.

Companies that overinvest in AI without a clear strategy or understanding of its limitations are likely to be disappointed. This can lead to a reluctance among others to continue investing in AI technologies.

But why is there so much disconnect? 

  • Many AI solutions remain stuck in research labs or experimental phases.
  • Some AI applications solve problems that businesses don't actually have.
  • The cost and complexity of implementing AI can outweigh the benefits for many companies.

The lack of practical applications fuels a cycle of unmet expectations, skepticism about AI’s real-world value, and slower adoption of new technologies.

AI is already making a tangible impact in some areas, however, particularly in industries that rely on data analysis, pattern recognition, and automation

Research and development for AI in these fields will continue, but they are already great examples of AI making demonstrable progress in solving complex, industry-specific problems.

analytics on laptop

4. Skill Shortage

While the AI bubble grows on one front, we have several powerful AI applications that aren’t being used effectively on the other because there aren’t enough people who know how to use them!

Many businesses and employers face this frustrating scenario.

According to the World Economic Forum’s 2023 Future of Jobs report:

  • 6 in 10 workers will require training before 2027.
  • Only half of all workers have adequate training opportunities
  • Training workers in AI and big data is the 3rd highest skills-training priority over the next 5 years.

If businesses cannot find enough skilled talent:

  • They suffer productivity losses and become less competitive.
  • Projects dependent on AI are delayed or never completed. This includes projects that don’t need AI but would benefit greatly from it.
  • Companies struggle to keep up with AI advancements.
  • The gap between AI's potential and its real-world use keeps growing.

As businesses continue to expand their use of AI, creating talent pipelines for skilled workers and upskilling the existing workforce is more important than ever.

A large contributor to this problem is the lack of available resources to train workers. 

  • Traditional academic programs focus on theoretical knowledge and have lengthy development cycles. This leads to lagging behind the real-time needs of an AI-driven job market. 

The skills gap has led many employers to change their priorities while hiring and focus on skills over degrees.

The silver lining is that the need for new skills and new roles, alongside the shift to skills-based hiring, creates substantial opportunities for those willing to learn

While traditional education might be long and costly, platforms like Unmudl enable workers to acquire valuable skills at their own pace.

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5. Ethical and Regulatory Challenges

Adopting and implementing AI can be transformative — but it doesn’t come without risks.Handing over critical tasks like maintenance, analysis-based decision-making, or even communications to AI requires a high degree of trust in the technology. For many processes, solely relying on AI means that it needs to hit the mark every single time.As AI gets smarter and more widespread, we're bumping into several tricky questions:

  • How do we make sure AI doesn't discriminate against certain groups?
  • What happens when AI makes a mistake? Who's responsible?
  • How much of our personal data should AI be allowed to use?
  • What is the environmental impact of AI, and who will bear the brunt of it?

A 2023 Trust in Artificial Intelligence study found that the institutional safeguards governing AI are not keeping pace with expectations and technological uptake. People expect organizations using AI systems to uphold high standards of: 

  • Data privacy, security, and governance.
  • Technical performance, accuracy, and robustness.
  • Fairness, non-discrimination, and diversity.
  • Human agency and oversight.
  • Transparency and explainability.
  • Accountability and contestability.
  • Risk and impact mitigation. 
  • AI literacy support.

Due to these ethical hurdles, many companies hesitate to implement AI and potentially lose out on technology that can improve people’s lives. Without governments and businesses strongly addressing ethical concerns, public trust in AI wavers and further slows down adoption.

woman with a robotic arm

6. Short Term ROI Focus

Companies feeling the pressure to show immediate results isn’t new — but what happens to quarterly reports when the benefits of newly adopted AI technology might take years to show?The need for quick results, especially due to high initial investment, creates a challenging environment for AI development and implementation.Understandably, companies are eager for immediate wins, but this focus on short-term gains causes significant issues:

  • AI projects often get abandoned if they don't show immediate profits.
  • Long-term, potentially transformative AI initiatives are sidelined for quick fixes.
  • Companies miss out on the cumulative benefits of sustained AI development.

This short-sightedness can contribute to the perception of an AI bubble.When AI projects fail to deliver quick wins, they might be viewed as failures and abandoned, reinforcing the notion that AI is overhyped and not worth the investment. This creates a vicious cycle.AI, like any transformative technology, requires patience, experimentation, and a long-term vision. It takes time and resources to:

  • Build robust AI systems.
  • Collect and analyze data.
  • Make improvements and refine processes.
  • Integrate them into existing workflows.
  • Create cultural shifts within organizations.
  • Develop AI literacy across different departments.
  • Train employees to use AI capabilities to their full extent.

What Should Companies Do Instead?Companies with a more patient approach to AI tend to see better results. A strong foundation and long-term focus help organizations align their AI initiatives with broader business goals and strategies. This leads to more comprehensive, interconnected AI systems that can transform their operations rather than just implementing isolated, quick-fix solutions.The other part of a long-term plan should be investing in AI education and training. This better positions companies to navigate a complex, shifting landscape. A workforce with the skills to understand, implement, and manage AI technologies assures more sustainable growth and adaptability to future changes. 

7. Public Misconceptions

AI is often misunderstood, thanks in part to how it's portrayed in movies, news, and social media. These misconceptions can fuel unrealistic expectations or fears about the capabilities and impact of AI.Common misconceptions include:

  • AI will take over all jobs: While AI is changing the job market, it's creating new roles as much as it's altering existing ones. Many new jobs require human skills that AI can't replicate.
  • AI is smarter than humans: Current AI is very good at specific tasks but lacks the general intelligence, creativity, and adaptability of humans.
  • AI makes unbiased decisions: AI can actually reflect and amplify human biases if not carefully designed and monitored.
  • AI will solve all our problems: While AI is a powerful tool, it's not a magic solution for every challenge we face.

According to a 2023 Trust in AI report, 73% of people across the globe report feeling concerned about the potential risks of AI. The risks mentioned include:

  • Cybersecurity and privacy breaches.
  • Manipulation and harmful use.
  • Loss of jobs and deskilling.
  • System failure.
  • The erosion of human rights.
  • Inaccurate or biased outcomes.

Those who believe in the ability of AI to produce a range of benefits are more confident about its ‘process benefits’ rather than ‘people benefits’.In other words, they believe AI can improve efficiency, innovation, effectiveness, resource utilization, and reduced costs — but they don’t think it will be as effective in decision-making and improving outcomes for people.Most worryingly, only half of those surveyed believe the benefits of AI outweigh the risks.These misconceptions can lead to:

  • Unnecessary fear and resistance to beneficial AI applications.
  • Overestimation of AI's current capabilities and consequent disappointment.
  • Underestimation of the human role in developing and managing AI systems.
woman working on a laptop

Addressing Fears and MisconceptionsThe fears and misconceptions around AI need to be taken seriously and addressed by creators of AI technologies, institutions, and governments. Most of them stem from a lack of awareness and education about AI.While 82% of people are aware of AI, half feel they do not understand AI or when and how it is used. This is a scenario that calls for:

  • Clear, accurate communication about AI capabilities and limitations.
  • Education to help people understand how AI works and its real-world applications.
  • Transparency from companies and researchers about their AI development and use.

8. The Irreplaceable Human Element

In all the excitement and concern about AI, there's one crucial factor that often gets overlooked: the irreplaceable role of humans. Whether or not AI lives up to all the promises made about it, it’s clear that it’s here to stay in one form or capacity or another. But no matter how advanced AI becomes, it will always be a tool to complement human skills, not replace them entirely.Companies have begun prioritizing multiple human skills that AI implementation will require. They include: 

  1. Emotional Intelligence: Understanding and responding to complex human emotions encountered while interacting with colleagues, teams, clients, and customers.
  2. Creativity: Generating genuinely original ideas and thinking outside established patterns. 
  3. Decision-Making: Making the right choices and taking risks after reviewing all the data. 
  4. Ethical Judgment: Navigating complex moral dilemmas that require human values and judgment.
  5. Adaptability: Quickly adjusting to new, unexpected situations without needing to be reprogrammed.
  6. Critical Thinking: Analyzing information from multiple angles and considering nuanced context.

Humans also play a crucial role in the AI ecosystem:

  • AI Development: Designing, programming, and refining AI, IoT, and mechatronic systems.
  • Data Curation: Selecting and preparing the data that AI models learn from.
  • Interpretation: Making sense of AI outputs and applying them in real-world contexts.
  • Oversight: Ensuring AI systems operate effectively, ethically, and for their intended use.

The most important part of the AI bubble is understanding and appreciating our role, both with and without it.

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While the AI landscape may be filled with both promise and uncertainty, one thing is clear: the need for adaptable, skilled workers who understand AI.

Unmudl’s Mechatronics Career Pathway is specifically designed to equip learners with the in-demand skills needed to succeed in today's AI-driven world. 

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Last updated on:
November 7, 2024

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